If the first new person to be Attorney General is Lee Zeldin before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico, and The New York Times.

Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.