Disclosures | Predictor

Risk disclosure

Trading event contracts involve risk and are not suitable for all users. You may lose the full amount you place at risk in a trade.

Event contracts are derivatives and may be treated as swaps, futures, options, or other regulated commodity interests depending on their structure. Prices may fluctuate prior to settlement and liquidity is not guaranteed.

Past market prices, probabilities, or outcomes are not indicative of future results. You should only trade with funds you can afford to lose and ensure you understand the terms, conditions, and settlement criteria of each contract before trading.

Introducing Broker disclosure

Predictor is an Introducing Broker registered with the National Futures Association.

Predictor:

Introduces users to a regulated Futures Commission Merchant (FCM);
Provides the user interface and access to markets;
Does not hold customer funds;
Does not execute trades or act as a counterparty.

Customer accounts are carried by Plus500US Financial Services LLC, a registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member.

Contracts are listed on a regulated exchange (e.g., KalshiEX LLC) and may be cleared through a designated clearinghouse (e.g., Kalshi Klear LLC), where applicable.

Conflicts of Interest disclosure

Predictor does not take positions against users and does not act as a market maker.

Predictor maintains policies and controls designed to identify and manage conflicts in a fair and transparent manner, as directed by the NFA.

Market integrity & fair use

Users must not:

Trade using material non-public (inside) information;
Attempt to manipulate markets or prices;
Collude with others to distort outcomes;
Circumvent platform restrictions.

Predictor does not provide investment, legal, tax, or financial advice.

All content is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation or solicitation to trade.

Predictor may monitor trading activity and may:

Restrict or suspend accounts;
Cancel or void activity where permitted;
Report suspicious conduct to partners or regulators.

Restricted Persons Disclosure

Certain individuals may be restricted from trading specific markets, including:

Individuals with access to non-public or insider information;
Employees, contractors, or affiliates connected to an event;
Public officials or individuals able to influence outcomes.

Users are responsible for ensuring they are not subject to restrictions before trading.

Regulatory & Jurisdictional Disclosure

The regulatory treatment of prediction markets is evolving and may vary by jurisdiction.

Predictor reserves the right, at its sole discretion, to:

Restrict access to certain markets
Limit functionality
Suspend or withdraw services

This may occur on a jurisdictional or user-specific basis due to:

Legal or regulatory requirements
Regulatory guidance or enforcement developments
Internal risk assessments