If the winner of the next Colombian presidential election scheduled to be held in 2026 (at the latest) is Francia Márquez, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections, in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission, and constitutional court.

For presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.